Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 22:18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT 1.50.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 37.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.7 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 22.0 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly SR-/PC1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE H H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 11 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 6 | 7.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON B1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS H/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 7 | 6.8 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | S J TOURBILLON H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MINISTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with LEAN HERO second and SPLENDID LIVING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite ESCAPE ROUTE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 17.7% | 5.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 14.0% | 7.17 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 12.3% | 8.15 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 10.9% | 9.19 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 9.4% | 10.65 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 6.7% | 14.86 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 6.7% | 15.01 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 6.5% | 15.41 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 4.9% | 20.38 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 4.6% | 21.62 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE | 3.9% | 25.35 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.4% | 41.06 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 374.5
PLACE
1 61
6 21.5
10 94
QUINELLA
6,10 1,270
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 222
1,10 807.5
6,10 364
FORECAST
10,6 2,979
TIERCE
10,6,1 43,300
TRIO
1,6,10 6,753
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 16,025
QUARTET
10,6,1,7 564,694
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
9/6 32.5
9/10 2,361