Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 20:11
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT 1.40.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly P-/H/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 25.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SAMARKAND Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER BABY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DOUBLE WIN Led early XB/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 11 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly B2/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TOTAL POWER B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | AFFIRM TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY B/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 6 | 35.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | TOURBILLON FLOW B1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 103.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED HARE KING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with AMAZING TEENS second and SAMARKAND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAMARKAND | 19.6% | 5.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 16.8% | 5.95 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 15.1% | 6.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 14.0% | 7.12 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE | 7.4% | 13.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.7% | 14.85 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | DOUBLE WIN | 6.6% | 15.21 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | AFFIRM | 6.2% | 16.13 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 4.9% | 20.27 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 2.1% | 47.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | TOURBILLON FLOW | 0.6% | 176.66 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24.5
PLACE
1 23
3 55.5
4 11.5
QUINELLA
3,4 281
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 246
1,4 35.5
3,4 98.5
FORECAST
4,3 397
TIERCE
4,3,1 2,094
TRIO
1,3,4 475
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 817
QUARTET
4,3,1,5 13,869
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/3 55
2/4 36