Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 14:55
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER AMBITION, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with CELESTIAL COLOURS second and A AMERIC TE SPECSO third. The 3.9 favourite HEALTHY HEALTHY finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT 1.09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 10 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B1 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 6 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE H/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 3.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 12 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 15.5% | 6.44 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 13.5% | 7.41 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 10.6% | 9.48 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | BRAVE STAR | 9.7% | 10.35 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.8% | 14.62 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 6.6% | 15.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 5.7% | 17.61 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 4.3% | 23.31 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART | 3.6% | 27.78 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE | 3.3% | 30.49 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 1.9% | 53.97 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 64
PLACE
4 22
5 30.5
8 21.5
QUINELLA
4,5 277.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 96
4,8 79
5,8 125.5
FORECAST
4,5 544
TIERCE
4,5,8 3,675
TRIO
4,5,8 710
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 2,556
QUARTET
4,5,8,6 50,553
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
9/10/4 17,507
9/10/5 6,744
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,10/4,5,8 1,513,559
7TH DOUBLE
10/4 4,373
10/5 526.5
SIX UP
3,4/3,4/6,11/9,11/6,10/4,5 3,876
4/3/6/9/10/4 2,027,459
3 [P F Yiu] —
5 [L Hewitson] —