Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 13:25
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LYRICAL MOTION, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with SUPER EAGLE second and GALLANT VALOUR third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LYRICAL MOTION B/TT 1.10.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 2 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GOLD TACK CP- K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | SIGHT VICTORY H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 95.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | EASY SNIP B K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HERO STAR TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | JOY COMING CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KING INVINCIBLE B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER ELITE CP/H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 4 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | HEARTY WISH SR-/B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 54.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LYRICAL MOTION | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | GALLANT VALOUR | 17.4% | 5.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE | 10.8% | 9.23 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | JOY COMING | 10.0% | 10.00 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | EASY SNIP | 8.9% | 11.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | GOLD TACK | 8.6% | 11.67 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | KING INVINCIBLE | 7.0% | 14.26 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER ELITE | 5.7% | 17.63 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | HEARTY WISH | 3.7% | 27.02 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 3.5% | 28.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | HERO STAR | 3.3% | 30.32 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | SIGHT VICTORY | 0.9% | 106.01 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 28.5
PLACE
4 13.5
6 16
11 25.5
QUINELLA
6,11 173
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 28
4,11 68.5
6,11 61.5
FORECAST
6,11 283
TIERCE
6,11,4 837
TRIO
4,6,11 171
FIRST 4
4,5,6,11 489
QUARTET
6,11,4,5 9,200
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/3/6 3,272
4/3/11 1,161
4TH DOUBLE
3/6 761.5
3/11 304.5