Happy Valley · 2024-01-17 · 19:11
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly 1.51.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.7 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 2.7 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 7 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B-/CP1 B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 5 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | VIVA A LA Led early B/H2/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 21.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | 9 | 34.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AI ONE L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | M M NEBULA Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-17 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SUNNY BABY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by SH, with DIAMOND WINNER second and TURTLE AGAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite TURTLE AGAIN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 24.0% | 4.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN | 17.9% | 5.58 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 13.4% | 7.48 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 8.1% | 12.34 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 6.5% | 15.29 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 6.4% | 15.56 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 6.1% | 16.38 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 5.8% | 17.30 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 4.9% | 20.38 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 4.5% | 22.30 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 2.4% | 41.90 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 57
PLACE
2 14
5 16.5
10 27
QUINELLA
5,10 284.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 34
2,10 57.5
5,10 89
FORECAST
5,10 529
TIERCE
5,10,2 1,648
TRIO
2,5,10 189
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 241
QUARTET
5,10,2,7 7,393