Happy Valley · 2024-01-17 · 14:25
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-17 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. M UNICORN, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with QUANTUM PATCH second and CALIFORNIA VOCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.40.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 4 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 6.4 | N |
| 3 | 3 | CALIFORNIA VOCE Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SOLID IMPACT B- K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | IVY LEAGUE H/SR/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT B- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | SILVER SONIC XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | U S S CONSTITUTION B/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | TRADITION B A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 3 | 91.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 19.8% | 5.06 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | M UNICORN | 18.5% | 5.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | QUANTUM PATCH | 14.7% | 6.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SILVER SONIC | 9.0% | 11.17 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | IVY LEAGUE | 8.5% | 11.80 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | ALL BEAUTY | 6.3% | 15.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY EIGHT | 5.6% | 17.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | STAR CONTACT | 5.3% | 18.86 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SOLID IMPACT | 4.1% | 24.39 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 3.8% | 26.06 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 3.4% | 29.84 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | TRADITION | 1.2% | 84.52 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 27
PLACE
3 24.5
4 19.5
12 13.5
QUINELLA
4,12 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 88
3,12 46.5
4,12 37.5
FORECAST
12,4 158
TIERCE
12,4,3 696
TRIO
3,4,12 227
FIRST 4
3,4,7,12 769
QUARTET
12,4,3,7 8,112
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/4 53.5
3/12 196.5