Happy Valley · 2024-01-17 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TRIO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with ERNEST FEELING second and SUPER EAGLE third. The 2.4 favourite BEAUTY INFINITY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY TRIO B 1.10.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | KILINDINI H/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 2 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 3 | 55.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY INFINITY A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 2.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 52.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | PODIUM B2/TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 7 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | COLONEL V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY QUALITY TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 12 | ALLOY KING M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE | 23.7% | 4.23 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 19.5% | 5.12 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | ERNEST FEELING | 9.5% | 10.58 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 9.1% | 10.96 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY TRIO | 9.0% | 11.14 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY QUALITY | 7.4% | 13.47 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | KILINDINI | 7.3% | 13.67 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK | 5.0% | 20.11 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.7% | 21.48 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | COLONEL | 2.9% | 34.68 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | PODIUM | 2.0% | 49.42 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 68.5
PLACE
3 18.5
4 34
10 16.5
QUINELLA
3,4 393
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 106.5
3,10 43
4,10 90.5
FORECAST
3,4 750
TIERCE
3,4,10 2,622
TRIO
3,4,10 344
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 901
QUARTET
3,4,10,5 24,569
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/3,4,10 15,192
5TH DOUBLE
7/3 315.5
7/4 116
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,9/2,7,9/3,4,10 64,544
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,9/2,7,9/Any Combination 469