Happy Valley · 2024-01-17 · 12:15
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CRYSTAL POWERFUL, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by W K Mo, won by 1, with FLYING PHANTOM second and SUPER ELITE third. The 3.0 favourite SHINKANSEN finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/H/TT 1.10.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 6 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING PHANTOM H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER ELITE CP/H/XB M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 10 | 59.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CHEONG FAT H/PC Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MULTIDARLING TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 8.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | DAN ATTACK H-/P-/XB-/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | TATTENHAM L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 8 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | YOUTH POWER H K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 12 | 116.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | BRAVE WITNESS TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | MIRACLES B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 13.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | TOP TOP TEA Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SHINKANSEN | 28.4% | 3.52 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | NORDIC COMBINED | 11.6% | 8.59 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 10.8% | 9.27 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | MIRACLES | 10.7% | 9.34 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | CHEONG FAT | 10.6% | 9.45 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | MULTIDARLING | 7.7% | 13.07 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | BRAVE WITNESS | 6.4% | 15.65 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | TATTENHAM | 6.3% | 15.92 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING PHANTOM | 3.6% | 28.01 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER ELITE | 2.0% | 51.28 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | DAN ATTACK | 1.4% | 72.57 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | YOUTH POWER | 0.6% | 158.49 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 63.5
PLACE
5 40
11 22
12 131
QUINELLA
5,11 544.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 162.5
5,12 819.5
11,12 533.5
FORECAST
11,5 1,104
TIERCE
11,5,12 27,412
TRIO
5,11,12 6,264
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 11,736
QUARTET
11,5,12,6 347,849
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2,10/5 140
2,10/11 138.5