Happy Valley · 2024-01-17 · 21:11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B 1.40.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON STAR V/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 9.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | V LOVE YOU TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 7 | 144.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B2/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AROMATICA Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 10 | 23.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 36.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE V A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 1 | 21.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-17 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WIN WIN FIGHTER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with DRAGON STAR second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 19.7% | 5.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 16.0% | 6.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 15.7% | 6.36 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | STURDY RUBY | 13.7% | 7.30 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 11.9% | 8.41 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 5.1% | 19.59 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.5% | 22.45 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.1% | 24.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.2% | 31.26 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 2.9% | 34.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | AROMATICA | 2.9% | 34.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | V LOVE YOU | 0.3% | 291.20 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 42.5
PLACE
2 31.5
7 18
9 23.5
QUINELLA
2,7 219.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 73
2,9 106.5
7,9 60.5
FORECAST
7,2 415
TIERCE
7,2,9 2,510
TRIO
2,7,9 453
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 334
QUARTET
7,2,9,4 7,100
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/9/2 347
11/9/7 787
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 51
9/7 105