Sha Tin · 2024-01-28 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-28 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SMART BEAUTY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with DIAMOND DIAMOND second and CHARMANDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite ONE HEART ONE did not finish.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.36.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | DIAMOND DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 2 | 9.9 | N |
| 3 | 5 | CHARMANDER Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 5.7 | N |
| 4 | 10 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 10 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY B A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 14 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | ANGELS HUNTER B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | FASTPASS B/SR/XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 12 | 38.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPY HUNK Led early H-/CP1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 89.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER V-/XB-/CP2/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | EAGLE RUN CP-/SR-/XB1/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 34.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | BRILLIANT PIONEER PC/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 15.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 6 | ONE HEART ONE CP/XB/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.7 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 21.3% | 4.70 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | CHARMANDER | 18.3% | 5.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | ANGELS HUNTER | 13.5% | 7.38 | 8 |
| 4 | 14 | SMART BEAUTY | 7.2% | 13.84 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 5.8% | 17.11 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 5.5% | 18.22 | 13 |
| 7 | 12 | EAGLE RUN | 5.1% | 19.68 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER | 4.6% | 21.68 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY | 4.5% | 22.32 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | BROTHER PEARL | 4.0% | 24.77 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 4.0% | 24.84 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | FASTPASS | 3.6% | 27.81 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | HAPPY HUNK | 2.4% | 40.85 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 100.5
PLACE
2 32.5
5 25.5
14 30.5
QUINELLA
2,14 508
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 118.5
2,14 166.5
5,14 114
FORECAST
14,2 965
TIERCE
14,2,5 7,670
TRIO
2,5,14 1,148
FIRST 4
2,5,10,14 2,907
QUARTET
14,2,5,10 59,586
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 59
2/14 444
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,9/2,5,14 946,191