Sha Tin · 2024-01-28 · 08:20
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GORGEOUS WIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS second and COLOURFUL EMPEROR third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN TT 1.09.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 1.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | LAUGH TALE SR-/XB/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 129.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK TT1 A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 1 | 9.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 66.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | STORM LEGEND K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 85.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GOKO WIN B H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 12 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | SHOW RESPECT B-/XB/H1/TT- Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 2 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 121.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE H/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 14 | 133.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | STAR LINE B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 135.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | SAKEWIN CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 93.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN | 57.7% | 1.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 10.0% | 10.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK | 6.2% | 16.20 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | GOKO WIN | 5.2% | 19.31 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | SHOW RESPECT | 4.8% | 21.01 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING | 4.0% | 25.31 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | STORM LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.56 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 2.7% | 37.07 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 1.6% | 63.36 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 1.2% | 84.33 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.1% | 91.38 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | SAKEWIN | 1.1% | 92.54 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | STAR LINE | 0.8% | 124.69 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | LAUGH TALE | 0.5% | 183.47 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 14
PLACE
5 22.5
9 10.1
11 21
QUINELLA
9,11 52
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 25.5
5,11 72
9,11 26.5
FORECAST
9,11 68
TIERCE
9,11,5 276
TRIO
5,9,11 102
FIRST 4
5,9,11,13 2,282
QUARTET
9,11,5,13 13,315
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
13/9 109.5
13/11 96.5