沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 08:20
第 7場
2024-01-28沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的GORGEOUS WIN勝出，贏出1/2。EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS獲得亞軍；COLOURFUL EMPEROR獲得季軍。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN TT 1.09.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 1.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | LAUGH TALE SR-/XB/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 129.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK TT1 A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 1 | 9.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 66.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | STORM LEGEND K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 85.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GOKO WIN B H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 12 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | SHOW RESPECT B-/XB/H1/TT- Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 2 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 121.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE H/XB H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 14 | 133.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | STAR LINE B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 135.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | SAKEWIN CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 93.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GORGEOUS WIN | 57.7% | 1.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 10.0% | 10.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK | 6.2% | 16.20 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | GOKO WIN | 5.2% | 19.31 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | SHOW RESPECT | 4.8% | 21.01 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING | 4.0% | 25.31 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | STORM LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.56 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 2.7% | 37.07 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 1.6% | 63.36 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 1.2% | 84.33 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.1% | 91.38 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | SAKEWIN | 1.1% | 92.54 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | STAR LINE | 0.8% | 124.69 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | LAUGH TALE | 0.5% | 183.47 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 14
PLACE
5 22.5
9 10.1
11 21
QUINELLA
9,11 52
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 25.5
5,11 72
9,11 26.5
FORECAST
9,11 68
TIERCE
9,11,5 276
TRIO
5,9,11 102
FIRST 4
5,9,11,13 2,282
QUARTET
9,11,5,13 13,315
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
13/9 109.5
13/11 96.5