沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 09:25
第 9場
2024-01-28沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的SWEET ENCOUNTER勝出，贏出SH。FLAMINGO TRILLION獲得亞軍；STAR MAC獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門FLAMINGO TRILLION跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER 後段發力 1.35.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 4.7 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION 早段領放 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 3.2 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | STAR MAC 後段發力 CP1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.9 | N |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 8 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTYVERSE H/B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B J Melham · P F Yiu | J Melham | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS XB/B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | NOT A FEW SR/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 9 | 149.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | I KEEP WINNING C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 119.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | ACCOLADE START TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 2 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | MARADO B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 53.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 13.8% | 7.23 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 12.1% | 8.28 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | STAR MAC | 11.9% | 8.40 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | AESTHETICISM | 11.5% | 8.68 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | POWERFUL WINGS | 9.9% | 10.09 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 9.5% | 10.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTYVERSE | 7.1% | 14.11 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | MARADO | 4.5% | 22.09 | 14 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 4.2% | 23.63 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS | 2.7% | 36.51 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | ACCOLADE START | 1.6% | 61.12 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | NOT A FEW | 0.7% | 149.67 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | I KEEP WINNING | 0.6% | 180.02 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 47
PLACE
1 20
11 15
13 24
QUINELLA
1,11 91
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 41
1,13 69
11,13 57.5
FORECAST
1,11 200
TIERCE
1,11,13 1,018
TRIO
1,11,13 247
FIRST 4
1,3,11,13 386
QUARTET
1,11,13,3 7,737
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 1,516
6/11 165