沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 06:40
第 4場
2024-01-28沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K De Melo策騎、W Y So訓練的PANDA LEGEND勝出，贏出N。SMART FIGHTER獲得亞軍；I CAN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門CELTIC TIMES跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PANDA LEGEND 後段發力 TT 1.22.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 34.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SMART FIGHTER 後段發力 TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | I CAN 後段發力 B/H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 64.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE 早段領放 B E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | CLUB SODA P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING RUN CP/TT- J Melham · D A Hayes | J Melham | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 12 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 1 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | PERFETTO 後段發力 CP1 A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 8 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 56.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | ME TIME TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 2 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY FEELING TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 5 | 56.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 7 | 48.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER TEN B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 13 | 116.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES | 31.9% | 3.13 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART FIGHTER | 12.7% | 7.85 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY DAILY | 9.4% | 10.59 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE | 8.3% | 12.01 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | CAN'T GO WONG | 7.0% | 14.24 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | PERFETTO | 6.4% | 15.62 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | AMAZING RUN | 4.7% | 21.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | PANDA LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.32 | 1 |
| 9 | 14 | CLUB SODA | 4.2% | 23.76 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 3.4% | 29.60 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY FEELING | 2.8% | 35.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | ME TIME | 2.2% | 46.10 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | I CAN | 1.3% | 76.75 | 3 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER TEN | 1.3% | 76.94 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 340
PLACE
2 181.5
10 84.5
11 17
QUINELLA
10,11 917.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 1,896
2,11 577
10,11 237
FORECAST
10,11 2,233
TIERCE
10,11,2 86,920
TRIO
2,10,11 11,251
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 40,352
QUARTET
10,11,2,4 1,929,575
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/2,10,11 819,639
3RD DOUBLE
1/10 2,057
1/11 83.5