沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 08:50
第 8場
2024-01-28沙田第8場，Group 1，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、C S Shum訓練的VICTOR THE WINNER勝出，贏出1-3/4。LUCKY WITH YOU獲得亞軍；WELLINGTON獲得季軍。1.3倍大熱門LUCKY SWEYNESSE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT 1.09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 10 | 38.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 7 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | WELLINGTON B/XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 6 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | FLYING ACE B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 1.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TAJ DRAGON K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | WHIZZ KID V/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 11 | 104.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | PACKING TREADMILL SR J Melham · K W Lui | J Melham | K W Lui | 2 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | COURIER WONDER H/XB1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 110.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | DUKE WAI PC H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 13 | 126.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 46.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SUPER WEALTHY V/XB L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 1 | 100.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 40.0% | 2.50 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | WELLINGTON | 14.8% | 6.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | TAJ DRAGON | 14.2% | 7.02 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | PACKING TREADMILL | 4.2% | 23.58 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.0% | 25.02 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | COURIER WONDER | 3.9% | 25.62 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 3.7% | 27.22 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | SON PAK FU | 3.6% | 27.84 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | FLYING ACE | 2.5% | 40.13 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | DUKE WAI | 2.5% | 40.76 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPER WEALTHY | 2.4% | 41.67 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | WHIZZ KID | 2.1% | 47.62 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 2.1% | 48.70 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 387.5
PLACE
2 15.5
5 21
6 61
QUINELLA
5,6 1,308
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 84.5
2,6 185.5
5,6 245.5
FORECAST
6,5 3,795
TIERCE
6,5,2 12,888
TRIO
2,5,6 1,955
FIRST 4
2,5,6,13 15,661
QUARTET
6,5,2,13 456,875
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,11/2,5,6 45,554
7TH DOUBLE
9/5 38
9/6 547