沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 07:45
第 6場
2024-01-28沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、D J Hall訓練的CHAMPION INSTINCT勝出，贏出3/4。PATCH OF THETA獲得亞軍；SUPER LEGENDS獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SUPER LEGENDS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B 1.09.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 4 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | PATCH OF THETA H/XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER LEGENDS B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 3.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | NEW POWER H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT CP-/TT E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 8 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | TELECOM DRAGON TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 9 | 5.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | RUBY SAILING TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 3 | 9.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HINOKAMI KAGURA B/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 1 | 70.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | CRAZY TREASURE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 96.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | MULTISUPER B-/CP2 J Melham · P F Yiu | J Melham | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | THE KHAN H1/P1/TT1 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | MORE RICE B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 14 | 44.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | FAST BUCK PC Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | YOUTH POWER H K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 91.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FAST BUCK | 19.4% | 5.16 | 13 |
| 2 | 6 | TELECOM DRAGON | 16.5% | 6.04 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER LEGENDS | 11.5% | 8.72 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 11.0% | 9.08 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | PATCH OF THETA | 9.4% | 10.68 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | MULTISUPER | 8.1% | 12.39 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | RUBY SAILING | 7.4% | 13.45 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | THE KHAN | 6.7% | 14.99 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | NEW POWER | 2.6% | 37.74 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | MORE RICE | 2.4% | 41.05 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 2.4% | 42.50 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | CRAZY TREASURE | 1.1% | 91.45 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 0.9% | 113.19 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | YOUTH POWER | 0.6% | 155.01 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 66
PLACE
2 13.5
7 25
13 21
QUINELLA
7,13 260
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 63
2,13 45.5
7,13 84
FORECAST
13,7 511
TIERCE
13,7,2 1,785
TRIO
2,7,13 243
FIRST 4
2,7,11,13 1,433
QUARTET
13,7,2,11 31,260
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
10,12>3,5/2,7,13 11,858
5TH DOUBLE
3,5/7 45.5
3,5/13 195.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,10,11/10,12>3,5/Any Combination 255,727