沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 10:00
第 10場
2024-01-28沙田第10場,Class 3,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GREEN N WHITE勝出,贏出N。E LEGEND獲得亞軍;SWEET BRIAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE 後段發力 TT 1.22.48 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 11 | E LEGEND M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 136.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SINBA 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY 後段發力 TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | MASTER OF FORTUNE 後段發力 B/TT J Melham · P C Ng | J Melham | P C Ng | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK 早段領放 CP M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 10 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ 後段發力 CP/H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 8 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | AORAKI SUMMIT CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 13 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | FOREVER CHARM TT1 A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 46.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | JUNE PLANET TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 13 | SUGAR BALL CP/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 7 | 153.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE | 20.4% | 4.89 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | AORAKI SUMMIT | 14.8% | 6.75 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | JUNE PLANET | 12.1% | 8.24 | 13 |
| 4 | 4 | FUN TOGETHER | 10.1% | 9.88 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 7.4% | 13.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR | 7.2% | 13.81 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ | 6.9% | 14.48 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT | 6.0% | 16.74 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK | 4.4% | 22.59 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY | 4.3% | 23.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | SINBA | 3.1% | 31.99 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | FOREVER CHARM | 1.7% | 57.68 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | E LEGEND | 1.4% | 69.69 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 37.5
PLACE
8 15.5
10 35.5
11 306
QUINELLA
8,11 4,331
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 93
8,11 958.5
10,11 1,499
FORECAST
8,11 5,781
TIERCE
8,11,10 77,271
TRIO
8,10,11 9,681
FIRST 4
3,8,10,11 28,710
QUARTET
8,11,10,3 802,724
全部彩池(另 4 項)
2ND TREBLE
6/1/8 12,942
6/1/11 39,761
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,11,13/8,10,11 217,212
9TH DOUBLE
1/8 288
1/11 1,387.5
SIX UP
3,5,12/7,13/9,11/5,6/1,11/8,11 9,742
3,5/13/9/6/1/8 375,493
3 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —