Sha Tin · 2024-01-28 · 10:00
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-28 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GREEN N WHITE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with E LEGEND second and SWEET BRIAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly TT 1.22.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 11 | E LEGEND M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 136.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SINBA Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT J Melham · P C Ng | J Melham | P C Ng | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK Led early CP M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 10 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly CP/H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 8 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | AORAKI SUMMIT CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 13 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | FOREVER CHARM TT1 A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 46.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | JUNE PLANET TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 13 | SUGAR BALL CP/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 7 | 153.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE | 20.4% | 4.89 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | AORAKI SUMMIT | 14.8% | 6.75 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | JUNE PLANET | 12.1% | 8.24 | 13 |
| 4 | 4 | FUN TOGETHER | 10.1% | 9.88 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 7.4% | 13.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SWEET BRIAR | 7.2% | 13.81 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ | 6.9% | 14.48 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY FIT | 6.0% | 16.74 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK | 4.4% | 22.59 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | AMAZING VICTORY | 4.3% | 23.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | SINBA | 3.1% | 31.99 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | FOREVER CHARM | 1.7% | 57.68 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | E LEGEND | 1.4% | 69.69 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 37.5
PLACE
8 15.5
10 35.5
11 306
QUINELLA
8,11 4,331
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 93
8,11 958.5
10,11 1,499
FORECAST
8,11 5,781
TIERCE
8,11,10 77,271
TRIO
8,10,11 9,681
FIRST 4
3,8,10,11 28,710
QUARTET
8,11,10,3 802,724
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/1/8 12,942
6/1/11 39,761
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,11,13/8,10,11 217,212
9TH DOUBLE
1/8 288
1/11 1,387.5
SIX UP
3,5,12/7,13/9,11/5,6/1,11/8,11 9,742
3,5/13/9/6/1/8 375,493
3 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —