Sha Tin · 2024-01-28 · 06:40
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-28 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PANDA LEGEND, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by N, with SMART FIGHTER second and I CAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite CELTIC TIMES finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.22.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 34.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SMART FIGHTER Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | I CAN Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 64.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE Led early B E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | CLUB SODA P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING RUN CP/TT- J Melham · D A Hayes | J Melham | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 12 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 1 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | PERFETTO Closed strongly CP1 A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 8 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 56.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | ME TIME TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 2 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY FEELING TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 5 | 56.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 7 | 48.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER TEN B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 13 | 116.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES | 31.9% | 3.13 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART FIGHTER | 12.7% | 7.85 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY DAILY | 9.4% | 10.59 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE | 8.3% | 12.01 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | CAN'T GO WONG | 7.0% | 14.24 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | PERFETTO | 6.4% | 15.62 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | AMAZING RUN | 4.7% | 21.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | PANDA LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.32 | 1 |
| 9 | 14 | CLUB SODA | 4.2% | 23.76 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 3.4% | 29.60 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY FEELING | 2.8% | 35.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | ME TIME | 2.2% | 46.10 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | I CAN | 1.3% | 76.75 | 3 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER TEN | 1.3% | 76.94 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 340
PLACE
2 181.5
10 84.5
11 17
QUINELLA
10,11 917.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 1,896
2,11 577
10,11 237
FORECAST
10,11 2,233
TIERCE
10,11,2 86,920
TRIO
2,10,11 11,251
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 40,352
QUARTET
10,11,2,4 1,929,575
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/2,10,11 819,639
3RD DOUBLE
1/10 2,057
1/11 83.5