Sha Tin · 2024-01-28 · 09:25
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-28 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SWEET ENCOUNTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by SH, with FLAMINGO TRILLION second and STAR MAC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite FLAMINGO TRILLION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly 1.35.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 4.7 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 3.2 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | STAR MAC Closed strongly CP1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.9 | N |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN ARTIE H/XB A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 8 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTYVERSE H/B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B J Melham · P F Yiu | J Melham | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS XB/B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | NOT A FEW SR/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 9 | 149.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | I KEEP WINNING C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 119.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | ACCOLADE START TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 2 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | MARADO B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 53.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 13.8% | 7.23 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 12.1% | 8.28 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | STAR MAC | 11.9% | 8.40 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | AESTHETICISM | 11.5% | 8.68 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | POWERFUL WINGS | 9.9% | 10.09 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 9.5% | 10.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTYVERSE | 7.1% | 14.11 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | MARADO | 4.5% | 22.09 | 14 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 4.2% | 23.63 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS | 2.7% | 36.51 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | ACCOLADE START | 1.6% | 61.12 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | NOT A FEW | 0.7% | 149.67 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | I KEEP WINNING | 0.6% | 180.02 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 47
PLACE
1 20
11 15
13 24
QUINELLA
1,11 91
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 41
1,13 69
11,13 57.5
FORECAST
1,11 200
TIERCE
1,11,13 1,018
TRIO
1,11,13 247
FIRST 4
1,3,11,13 386
QUARTET
1,11,13,3 7,737
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 1,516
6/11 165