Sha Tin · 2024-01-28 · 07:15
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-28 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BEATO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with JOYFUL PROSPERITY second and CHILLI BABA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEATO Closed strongly B/TT 1.35.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B-/V1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 5.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly V-/B2 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN B J Melham · D A Hayes | J Melham | D A Hayes | 10 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK Led early TT K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 9 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.1 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | CHATEAU A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 14 | 8.9 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | ROYAL PRIDE B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 17.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | BONUS PAL B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 11 | 67.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | UP AND UP CP1/TT- C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 55.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 87.0 | 73 |
| — | 0 | OWNERS' PRAISE H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 3 | BEER PALACE H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEATO | 21.9% | 4.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX | 12.3% | 8.15 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | ROYAL PRIDE | 12.3% | 8.16 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | CHILLI BABA | 10.3% | 9.67 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | CHATEAU | 8.4% | 11.86 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO | 7.2% | 13.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 7.0% | 14.21 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK | 5.7% | 17.43 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.0% | 20.13 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.9% | 20.24 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 2.3% | 43.72 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | UP AND UP | 2.0% | 51.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | BONUS PAL | 0.7% | 148.59 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 32
PLACE
5 16
10 34.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
5,12 103
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 71.5
5,12 45
10,12 119
FORECAST
5,12 177
TIERCE
5,12,10 1,279
TRIO
5,10,12 343
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 239
QUARTET
5,12,10,2 5,413
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/10/3,5 8,928
1/10/12 4,210
4TH DOUBLE
10/3,5 1,000
10/12 326.5