Sha Tin · 2024-01-28 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B 2.01.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 4.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly B-/XB/CP1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 69.0 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNING STEPS H/PC A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 7.9 | 8-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE Led early B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY B/TT- K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.7 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | JUBILATION V M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 12.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DARCI JOY B/TT Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.4 | 23-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG V-/B2/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 25.0 | 30-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-28 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. NICHOLSON RETURNS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 3-1/4, with SHARPEN BRIGHT second and ROMANTIC FANTASY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite LITTLE FAIRY finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 20.7% | 4.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING STEPS | 19.0% | 5.25 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY | 15.1% | 6.63 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 10.9% | 9.19 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 8.4% | 11.85 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 8.3% | 12.04 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 7.0% | 14.20 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | JUBILATION | 6.8% | 14.64 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 2.9% | 34.38 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 0.8% | 131.31 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 47
PLACE
2 16.5
4 156
9 46
QUINELLA
2,9 400
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 570.5
2,9 116
4,9 1,261.5
FORECAST
2,9 609
TIERCE
2,9,4 24,243
TRIO
2,4,9 7,064
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 8,735
QUARTET
2,9,4,3 135,704