沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 07:15
第 5場
2024-01-28沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEATO勝出，贏出1-1/2。JOYFUL PROSPERITY獲得亞軍；CHILLI BABA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEATO 後段發力 B/TT 1.35.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY 後段發力 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | CHILLI BABA 後段發力 B-/V1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO 後段發力 XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 5.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | DRAGON PRIDE 後段發力 V-/B2 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN B J Melham · D A Hayes | J Melham | D A Hayes | 10 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK 早段領放 TT K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 9 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.1 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | CHATEAU A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 14 | 8.9 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | ROYAL PRIDE B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 17.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | BONUS PAL B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 11 | 67.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | UP AND UP CP1/TT- C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 55.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 87.0 | 73 |
| — | 0 | OWNERS' PRAISE H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 3 | BEER PALACE H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEATO | 21.9% | 4.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX | 12.3% | 8.15 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | ROYAL PRIDE | 12.3% | 8.16 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | CHILLI BABA | 10.3% | 9.67 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | CHATEAU | 8.4% | 11.86 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO | 7.2% | 13.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 7.0% | 14.21 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK | 5.7% | 17.43 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.0% | 20.13 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.9% | 20.24 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 2.3% | 43.72 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | UP AND UP | 2.0% | 51.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | BONUS PAL | 0.7% | 148.59 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 32
PLACE
5 16
10 34.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
5,12 103
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 71.5
5,12 45
10,12 119
FORECAST
5,12 177
TIERCE
5,12,10 1,279
TRIO
5,10,12 343
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 239
QUARTET
5,12,10,2 5,413
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/10/3,5 8,928
1/10/12 4,210
4TH DOUBLE
10/3,5 1,000
10/12 326.5