沙田 · 2024-01-28 · 06:10
第 3場
2024-01-28沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的ACE VICTORY勝出，贏出1-1/4。LOYAL BO BO獲得亞軍；SECOND TO NONE獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門SECOND TO NONE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ACE VICTORY TT 1.09.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | LOYAL BO BO SR K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SECOND TO NONE J Melham · K W Lui | J Melham | K W Lui | 1 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | WINNING HEART B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 4 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY FIONN TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 13 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SONIC BOOM B/XB/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 11 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | WOODFIRE CHAMP TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY V2/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FOREMOST TEDDY B1/TT1 Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 10 | 101.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | WINNING GOLD H/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 166.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | PHOENIX LIGHT B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 8 | 8.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | MUST GO H-/E1/P1 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | PATCH OF KINGDOM M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 205.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SECOND TO NONE | 26.2% | 3.81 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 11.9% | 8.39 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | LOYAL BO BO | 11.0% | 9.12 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | ACE VICTORY | 9.9% | 10.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | THE GOOD DEAL | 7.6% | 13.23 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 6.9% | 14.51 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY FIONN | 5.3% | 18.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY | 4.8% | 20.96 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | SONIC BOOM | 4.6% | 21.94 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | MUST GO | 3.7% | 27.22 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | WINNING HEART | 3.6% | 28.07 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 2.6% | 38.10 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | WINNING GOLD | 1.4% | 70.54 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | PATCH OF KINGDOM | 0.6% | 158.13 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 48
PLACE
1 19
2 12.5
10 18
QUINELLA
1,10 168.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 30.5
1,10 56
2,10 30.5
FORECAST
1,10 310
TIERCE
1,10,2 923
TRIO
1,2,10 123
FIRST 4
1,2,9,10 665
QUARTET
1,10,2,9 18,605
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
14/1 899.5
14/10 108