Happy Valley · 2024-01-31 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT 1.41.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY B-/V1/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B- A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 6 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CONCERTO XB/TT B Avdulla · K H Ting | B Avdulla | K H Ting | 5 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX SR-/XB/CP2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SNOWALOT Closed strongly B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BOY B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER BABY Led early B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 22.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-31 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE PURSUIT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with SURE JOYFUL second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 6.2 favourite TURIN WARRIOR finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 16.3% | 6.13 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 12.6% | 7.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 10.8% | 9.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 9.9% | 10.08 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 8.7% | 11.51 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | SNOWALOT | 8.4% | 11.85 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL | 7.9% | 12.70 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | TO INFINITY | 7.1% | 14.08 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 6.2% | 16.14 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX | 5.2% | 19.29 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | CONCERTO | 4.6% | 21.53 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 2.2% | 44.82 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 66
PLACE
2 27
7 24.5
10 27.5
QUINELLA
2,7 257.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 99
2,10 123.5
7,10 89
FORECAST
2,7 494
TIERCE
2,7,10 2,309
TRIO
2,7,10 449
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 1,616
QUARTET
2,7,10,11 25,976
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/10/2 7,789
8/10/7 1,997
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/2,7,10 69,462
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 1,179
10/7 154.5