Happy Valley · 2024-01-31 · 22:54
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly 1.40.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RED HARE KING TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly H-/SR/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly H/CP1/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 12 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT CP1 K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 3 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.3 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | FASHION LEGEND Led early TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 46.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MAJESTIC SPEED TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 2 | 67.0 | 20-1/2 |
| — | 0 | THESIS A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-31 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SIMPLY MAVERICK, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-3/4, with RED HARE KING second and TURIN MASCOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 27.4% | 3.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 11.9% | 8.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 11.0% | 9.07 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING | 10.3% | 9.69 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT | 10.3% | 9.75 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 9.3% | 10.73 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.70 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE | 4.8% | 20.85 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | FASHION LEGEND | 1.3% | 75.70 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | MAJESTIC SPEED | 0.5% | 212.85 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 20.5
PLACE
2 51.5
8 11
12 18
QUINELLA
8,12 52
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 79
2,12 121
8,12 25
FORECAST
8,12 85
TIERCE
8,12,2 815
TRIO
2,8,12 274
FIRST 4
2,7,8,12 805
QUARTET
8,12,2,7 7,085
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
10/1/8,10 7,798
10/1/12 3,712
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/2>8,10,12 10,655
8TH DOUBLE
1/8,10 420
1/12 245.5
SIX UP
2,10/2,7/3,12/2,10/1,7/8,10,12 12,181
10/2/3/10/1/8,10 6,410,586
3 [C Fownes] —
2 [H Bowman] —