Happy Valley · 2024-01-31 · 00:49
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-31 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TOMODACHI KOKOROE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with BEAUTY WAVES second and RIGHTEOUS ARION third. The 1.8 favourite BEAUTY WAVES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT 1.09.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES SR/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 1.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 8 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | POWER KOEPP E M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 7 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI H-/P1/XB1/TT- K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 1 | 105.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BRAVE STAR XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 7.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HOSS XB-/B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | SPEED SWORD TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 25.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | MEGA BONUS V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 36.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES | 38.8% | 2.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 9.0% | 11.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | BRAVE STAR | 8.3% | 12.10 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 8.0% | 12.57 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR | 7.2% | 13.88 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | HOSS | 7.0% | 14.25 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 5.1% | 19.45 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 4.5% | 22.05 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SPEED SWORD | 4.2% | 23.65 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | MEGA BONUS | 4.0% | 25.14 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | POWER KOEPP | 2.7% | 36.67 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI | 1.1% | 87.64 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 111.5
PLACE
1 29.5
7 10.5
9 26.5
QUINELLA
1,7 118.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 49
1,9 148
7,9 39.5
FORECAST
1,7 379
TIERCE
1,7,9 2,031
TRIO
1,7,9 314
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 688
QUARTET
1,7,9,6 20,629
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
10/1 2,116.5
10/7 34.5