Happy Valley · 2024-01-31 · 00:49
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-31 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY GOLF, ridden by H Bowman and trained by F C Lor, won by NOSE, with ALLOY KING second and COUNTRY DANCER third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY GOLF 1.11.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 3.6 | NOSE |
| 2 | 12 | ALLOY KING V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 36.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 8.7 | SH |
| 4 | 5 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 3 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | ISLAND BRIGHT SR M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 64.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 8 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GREAT ACHIEVER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | BRAVO WARRIOR TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY SYMPHONY TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 9.6 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 2 | E UNIVERSE TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 12 | 27.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 18.4% | 5.43 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY GOLF | 18.3% | 5.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | KING ECCELLENTE | 10.9% | 9.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 10.8% | 9.25 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 9.5% | 10.55 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 8.9% | 11.23 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 8.0% | 12.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | ISLAND BRIGHT | 5.2% | 19.15 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | BRAVO WARRIOR | 4.3% | 23.43 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER | 3.2% | 31.44 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | ALLOY KING | 2.6% | 39.20 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 36.5
PLACE
3 17.5
10 33
12 94.5
QUINELLA
3,12 1,022
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 73
3,12 319.5
10,12 823
FORECAST
3,12 1,581
TIERCE
3,12,10 13,803
TRIO
3,10,12 2,660
FIRST 4
3,5,10,12 3,841
QUARTET
3,12,10,5 99,061
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/3 305
2/12 388.5