Happy Valley · 2024-04-17 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly 1.40.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | BIG TWO Closed strongly SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 9 | 9.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY HUNK Led early CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 60.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | YEABOI B-/TT L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 10 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly B-/TT- L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 53.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 12 | 57.0 | 19-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-17 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NORTHERN BEAST, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with BIG TWO second and MEDIC ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY | 21.9% | 4.56 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | NORTHERN BEAST | 15.9% | 6.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | BIG TWO | 15.6% | 6.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE | 14.1% | 7.08 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | MASTER OF LUCK | 10.4% | 9.57 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 6.1% | 16.38 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 5.1% | 19.72 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING BOY | 3.2% | 31.19 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | YEABOI | 2.5% | 40.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.4% | 40.95 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 1.4% | 70.73 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY HUNK | 1.2% | 82.13 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 22.5
PLACE
1 12
6 28
8 22.5
QUINELLA
1,8 89
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 47.5
1,8 35
6,8 64
FORECAST
1,8 137
TIERCE
1,8,6 584
TRIO
1,6,8 106
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 135
QUARTET
1,8,6,10 1,906
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 73.5
5/8 57.5