Happy Valley · 2024-04-17 · 12:42
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KAHOLO ANGEL, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with WINGS OF WAR second and JOY COMING third. The 2.8 favourite WINGS OF WAR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT 1.10.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | JOY COMING B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | CAPTAIN WIN B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 7 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | ACT OF FAITH B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | LESLIE B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 33.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | GREAT STATE TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 32.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR | 20.1% | 4.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 16.2% | 6.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | ACT OF FAITH | 15.3% | 6.54 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 10.0% | 9.99 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | LESLIE | 9.2% | 10.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | CAPTAIN WIN | 9.0% | 11.12 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | JOY COMING | 6.3% | 15.92 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 6.0% | 16.78 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 4.4% | 22.52 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | GREAT STATE | 3.5% | 28.37 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 48.5
PLACE
3 17
4 12.5
10 33.5
QUINELLA
3,4 72
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 30
3,10 109.5
4,10 73.5
FORECAST
3,4 163
TIERCE
3,4,10 1,324
TRIO
3,4,10 279
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 473
QUARTET
3,4,10,9 10,379
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/11/3 4,796
4/11/4 386
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,11/3,4,10 125,947
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 770.5
11/4 61.5