Happy Valley · 2024-04-17 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly TT 1.50.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 5 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 8 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 3 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly P1/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 42.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | DRAGON STAR V/XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 2 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 10 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SATIRICAL GLORY H H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 12 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FOREVER GLORIOUS B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CONCERTO Led early CP/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY V-/TT2 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 12.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-17 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FLYING SILVER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with GOLD TACK second and RUNNING AHEAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite SATIRICAL GLORY finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DRAGON STAR | 24.7% | 4.05 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 14.9% | 6.71 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN | 9.6% | 10.41 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | CONCERTO | 7.9% | 12.66 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 7.1% | 14.16 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | FLYING SILVER | 6.9% | 14.48 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 6.5% | 15.39 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLD TACK | 6.3% | 15.99 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY | 5.5% | 18.25 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | COURIER MAGIC | 5.4% | 18.64 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD | 3.5% | 28.76 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 1.9% | 54.03 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 134.5
PLACE
9 27.5
10 47.5
11 38.5
QUINELLA
9,11 506.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 212.5
9,11 152
10,11 270
FORECAST
11,9 1,230
TIERCE
11,9,10 9,514
TRIO
9,10,11 2,395
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 15,798
QUARTET
11,9,10,8 345,580
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/9 83.5
4/11 455