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Happy Valley · 2024-04-17 · 14:54

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 11 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-17 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ZOOM BOOM, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2, with RED HARE KING second and GIDDY UP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite RED HARE KING finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.40.79
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB 1.40.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte 9 8.5 2
2 4 RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 3.9 2
3 6 GIDDY UP Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Richards 11 8.6 3
3 10 CAPITAL LEGEND Led early TT K De Melo · C Fownes 6 10.0 3
5 12 CHARITY BINGO Y L Chung · C S Shum 1 13.0 3
6 3 SAMARKAND Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes 12 19.0 3-1/2
7 2 QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT H Bowman · P C Ng 2 5.0 3-3/4
8 1 SILVER SONIC Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 22.0 5
9 7 AFFORDABLE CP1/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes 3 97.0 5-3/4
10 9 LUCKY EIGHT TT K Teetan · P F Yiu 7 15.0 6
11 8 ROMANTIC LAOS CP-/H-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 10 38.0 6
5 SHOW RESPECT B/XB B Avdulla · M Newnham 5 6.2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ZOOM BOOM2. RED HARE KING+2L3. GIDDY UP+3L3. CAPITAL LEGEND+3L5. CHARITY BINGO+3L6. SAMARKAND+3.5L7. QUANTUM PATCH+3.75L8. SILVER SONIC+5L9. AFFORDABLE+5.75L10. LUCKY EIGHT+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick RED HARE KING (16.5%) finished 2nd — the winner ZOOM BOOM was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 RED HARE KING 16.5% 6.06 2
2 6 GIDDY UP 15.7% 6.38 3
3 2 QUANTUM PATCH 11.8% 8.48 7
4 12 CHARITY BINGO 11.3% 8.87 5
5 10 CAPITAL LEGEND 11.2% 8.96 3
6 11 ZOOM BOOM 9.5% 10.54 1
7 3 SAMARKAND 8.7% 11.47 6
8 9 LUCKY EIGHT 5.7% 17.69 10
9 1 SILVER SONIC 4.9% 20.59 8
10 8 ROMANTIC LAOS 4.1% 24.33 11
11 7 AFFORDABLE 0.8% 126.90 9
RED HARE KINGGIDDY UPQUANTUM PATCHCHARITY BINGOCAPITAL LEGENDZOOM BOOM — wonSAMARKANDLUCKY EIGHTSILVER SONICROMANTIC LAOSAFFORDABLE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 85

PLACE

4 16.5

6 15

10 15.5

11 24

QUINELLA

4,11 170.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 30.5

4,10 31

4,11 62.5

6,10 75

6,11 60

10,11 54.5

FORECAST

11,4 444

TIERCE

11,4,6 1,869

11,4,10 1,598

TRIO

4,6,11 323

4,10,11 262

FIRST 4

4,6,10,11 1,008

QUARTET

11,4,6,10 10,877

11,4,10,6 11,507

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

2/8/4 603

2/8/11 5,992

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,7,8/4,6,11 70,712

3,7,8/4,10,11 44,670

8TH DOUBLE

8/4 46

8/11 343.5

SIX UP

9,11/3,4/1,3,8/2,6,10/3,8/4,11 2,374

11/3/3/2/8/11 2,464,371

4 [E C W Wong]

9 [C S Shum]