Happy Valley · 2024-04-17 · 14:19
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-17 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TURIN WARRIOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won by 1, with JUMBO LEGEND second and SETANTA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite STRONGEST BOY finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB 1.41.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 5 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 1 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI P/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 5.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | AROMATICA Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 118.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | TO INFINITY B/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 2 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | EXCEL WONGCHOY Led early TT1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 10.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | STRONGEST BOY B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LOOKING COOL CP-/SR1/V1 Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 27.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STRONGEST BOY | 24.0% | 4.17 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI | 13.7% | 7.28 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | TURIN WARRIOR | 12.5% | 8.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | TO INFINITY | 10.5% | 9.50 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 9.4% | 10.61 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 8.8% | 11.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | JUMBO LEGEND | 7.5% | 13.34 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | SETANTA | 3.8% | 26.52 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 3.1% | 31.91 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 3.0% | 33.66 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | LOOKING COOL | 2.3% | 43.46 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | AROMATICA | 1.4% | 71.75 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 63.5
PLACE
3 22.5
7 63.5
8 19.5
QUINELLA
3,8 254
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 366.5
3,8 81
7,8 224.5
FORECAST
8,3 452
TIERCE
8,3,7 8,287
TRIO
3,7,8 1,811
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 3,313
QUARTET
8,3,7,2 66,077
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/3 128
2/8 721.5