Happy Valley · 2024-04-17 · 13:47
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPERB CAPITALIST, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 4-1/4, with BEAUTY INFINITY second and KYRUS DRAGON third. The 2.3 favourite BEAUTY INFINITY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT 1.09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | BEAUTY INFINITY Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 2.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | BRAVE STAR XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 5.2 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GOKO WIN B2 E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY DAY B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 2 | 22.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | EASON V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 57.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 10.0 | 17 |
| 10 | 7 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 21.0 | ML |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 30.9% | 3.24 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 14.0% | 7.14 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | BRAVE STAR | 13.1% | 7.66 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | KYRUS DRAGON | 9.5% | 10.58 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY DAY | 7.5% | 13.33 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | GOKO WIN | 6.1% | 16.40 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 5.7% | 17.59 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | NOT USUAL STAR | 5.3% | 18.97 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 5.2% | 19.39 | 1 |
| 10 | 4 | EASON | 2.9% | 34.92 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 79
PLACE
2 30
6 12
10 24
QUINELLA
2,6 50
2,10 178.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 42.5
2,10 108.5
6,10 38.5
FORECAST
2,6 132
2,10 354
TIERCE
2,6,10 696
2,10,6 1,158
TRIO
2,6,10 236
FIRST 4
2,3,6,10 226
QUARTET
2,6,10,3 3,668
2,10,6,3 4,954
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,12>1,8/2,6,10 23,135
6TH DOUBLE
3/2 1,096.5
3/6 40.5
3/10 89.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,10/3,12>1,8/2,6,10 2,826,313
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,10/3,12>1,8/Any Combination 4,704