Happy Valley · 2024-04-24 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B-/TT 1.50.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 2 | 8.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | GO GO GO Closed strongly P1/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 7.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL Led early H-/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 8.5 | HD |
| 4 | 7 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly CP A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SUNNY SHINES Closed strongly E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 12 | 59.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | NINJA DERBY H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | FOXHUNTER WAY M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 9 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | SPLENDID STAR SR-/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER HORNET B-/XB/V1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 7.9 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-24 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING BOY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C W Chang, won by NOSE, with GO GO GO second and PRECISION GOAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.6 favourite LOYAL AMBITION finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LOYAL AMBITION | 15.4% | 6.49 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | NINJA DERBY | 13.7% | 7.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL | 11.4% | 8.77 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | GO GO GO | 11.0% | 9.12 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | BROTHER PEARL | 8.6% | 11.56 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 7.8% | 12.75 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | SPLENDID STAR | 7.4% | 13.50 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | AMAZING BOY | 7.3% | 13.71 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 6.1% | 16.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | DIAMOND WINNER | 4.8% | 20.82 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER HORNET | 3.3% | 30.37 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | SUNNY SHINES | 3.1% | 32.34 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 84
PLACE
2 26.5
5 28
8 29.5
QUINELLA
2,5 340.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 119.5
2,8 129
5,8 146.5
FORECAST
2,5 648
TIERCE
2,5,8 5,451
TRIO
2,5,8 1,053
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 1,248
QUARTET
2,5,8,7 32,028
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 183.5
1/5 40