Happy Valley · 2024-04-24 · 13:47
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. OUR LUCKY GLORY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with GLORY CLOUD second and DIAMOND FLARE third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT 1.10.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GLORY CLOUD TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE B/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 5 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SIGHT SUPREME PC1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | FALCON COURT TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNING HEART V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HARMONY N HOME M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | HOSS B-/XB2/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 28.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 3 | 5.6 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | MOLLY'S WITNESS P/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 6 | 109.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL H-/B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 10 | 50.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING HEART | 18.7% | 5.35 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | SIGHT SUPREME | 18.0% | 5.55 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 10.7% | 9.31 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE | 10.2% | 9.83 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | GLORY CLOUD | 8.7% | 11.46 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK | 8.3% | 11.98 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED | 6.5% | 15.30 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | HARMONY N HOME | 6.2% | 16.03 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | HOSS | 5.6% | 17.98 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 4.9% | 20.50 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | FALCON COURT | 1.4% | 72.65 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | MOLLY'S WITNESS | 0.7% | 142.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 36.5
PLACE
2 15
4 29
7 25
QUINELLA
2,7 130
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 74
2,7 51
4,7 136
FORECAST
2,7 246
TIERCE
2,7,4 2,275
TRIO
2,4,7 429
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 999
QUARTET
2,7,4,1 17,975
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,10/2,4,7 11,749
6TH DOUBLE
6/2 364.5
6/7 72
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,7/3,6,10/2,4,7 849,068
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,7/3,6,10/Any Combination 1,916