Happy Valley · 2024-04-24 · 11:42
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-24 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SWEET DIAMOND, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with BEAU GOSSE second and MR GOOD VIBES third. The 4.2 favourite BEAU GOSSE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND TT 1.10.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | BEAU GOSSE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | MR GOOD VIBES B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | EASY TWO H/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 8 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NOBLE ONE B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | VIVA A LA B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | STORMTROUPER E-/XB-/TT2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | TACTICAL COMMAND B Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 7 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER B- M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | HERO ICON TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 2 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | PODIUM B/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 11 | 44.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MR GOOD VIBES | 18.6% | 5.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 17.1% | 5.84 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND | 12.8% | 7.80 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | NOBLE ONE | 9.1% | 10.98 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | VIVA A LA | 8.1% | 12.39 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER | 7.0% | 14.27 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAU GOSSE | 7.0% | 14.35 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | STORMTROUPER | 5.3% | 18.97 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | HERO ICON | 5.0% | 20.13 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 4.0% | 24.96 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | EASY TWO | 3.9% | 25.50 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | PODIUM | 2.2% | 46.07 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 62.5
PLACE
3 17.5
4 25.5
7 20
QUINELLA
3,7 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 52.5
3,7 53
4,7 72.5
FORECAST
7,3 305
TIERCE
7,3,4 1,570
TRIO
3,4,7 329
FIRST 4
3,4,7,12 2,087
QUARTET
7,3,4,12 39,646
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/3,4,7 52,504
2ND DOUBLE
2/3 51.5
2/7 738