Happy Valley · 2024-04-24 · 12:42
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-24 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MAJESTIC KNIGHT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with HARMONY N BLESSED second and NERVOUS WITNESS third. The 3.8 favourite HARMONY N BLESSED finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B 0.56.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | NERVOUS WITNESS H- L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | NORDIC DRAGON TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 1 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | DUKE WAI B-/V2/TT- C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 8 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | CARROLL STREET SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SEASONS WIT B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 4.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 8.5 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HUMBLE STAR | 26.8% | 3.73 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 15.3% | 6.53 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | SEASONS WIT | 13.5% | 7.39 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 11.9% | 8.40 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | CARROLL STREET | 9.2% | 10.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | NORDIC DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.77 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 6.2% | 16.06 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | WHIZZ KID | 4.7% | 21.18 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | DUKE WAI | 3.8% | 26.46 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 39.5
PLACE
3 43
5 16
7 15.5
QUINELLA
5,7 92
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 99
3,7 111.5
5,7 41.5
FORECAST
5,7 191
TIERCE
5,7,3 1,989
TRIO
3,5,7 512
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 626
QUARTET
5,7,3,8 10,489
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/5/5 978
7/5/7 304
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/3,5,7 25,414
4TH DOUBLE
5/5 196.5
5/7 36.5