Happy Valley · 2024-04-24 · 14:19
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HIGH PERCENTAGE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with RIGHTEOUS ARION second and SO AWESOME third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HIGH PERCENTAGE TT 1.10.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SO AWESOME B/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 5 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | COLONEL V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 1 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 93.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 6 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | MR VALIANT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HERCULES B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | TOGEPI B/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 9 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY V/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 2 | 8.7 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 12 | HAPPY FEELING B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 22.7% | 4.40 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG | 15.6% | 6.40 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY | 10.5% | 9.56 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | SO AWESOME | 9.5% | 10.56 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 9.2% | 10.86 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | COLONEL | 8.2% | 12.14 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 7.1% | 14.12 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | HERCULES | 6.1% | 16.29 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | TOGEPI | 5.2% | 19.07 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | MR VALIANT | 4.3% | 23.10 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 1.5% | 67.51 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 27
PLACE
2 18
4 13
10 34.5
QUINELLA
2,4 33
4,10 105.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 30
2,10 105
4,10 68.5
FORECAST
4,2 54
4,10 167
TIERCE
4,2,10 452
4,10,2 720
TRIO
2,4,10 263
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 179
QUARTET
4,2,10,1 1,569
4,10,2,1 2,078
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 22
2/4,12 119
2/10 64.5