Happy Valley · 2024-05-15 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Closed strongly 1.49.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | AWESOME FLUKE Closed strongly P1/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 2 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | NOBLE PURSUIT TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 3.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | DEVILDOM Led early B2/TT- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 40.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | BRAVEHEARTS B1/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 9 | 35.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 7.9 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-15 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FLAMINGO TRILLION, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with WINNING DRAGON second and AWESOME FLUKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite NOBLE PURSUIT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 21.0% | 4.75 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 20.8% | 4.80 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | AWESOME FLUKE | 12.4% | 8.05 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | QUANTUM PATCH | 11.8% | 8.47 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING | 10.9% | 9.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | INTREPID WINNER | 9.4% | 10.69 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON | 5.8% | 17.39 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | DEVILDOM | 4.5% | 22.47 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | BRAVEHEARTS | 3.5% | 28.92 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 39
PLACE
1 49
5 21
7 13.5
QUINELLA
1,7 334.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 156
1,7 100
5,7 47
FORECAST
7,1 593
TIERCE
7,1,5 2,706
TRIO
1,5,7 544
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 726
QUARTET
7,1,5,6 13,112
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/1,5,7 132,705
2ND DOUBLE
4/1 155.5
4/7 209