Happy Valley · 2024-05-15 · 12:42
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SWEET DIAMOND, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with COSMO NAVIGATOR second and GIMME FIVE third. The 2.6 favourite GLORY CLOUD finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SWEET DIAMOND TT 1.10.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | GIMME FIVE CP- K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CURRAHEE H/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 5 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SIGHT HERO BO-/B2/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 9.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | GLORY CLOUD TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 2.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | WINNING HEART V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | SUNNY DARLING PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 11 | 90.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | BRAVO WARRIOR TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 87.0 | 14 |
| — | 12 | MIRACLES M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING HEART | 25.4% | 3.94 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | SWEET DIAMOND | 17.8% | 5.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | GLORY CLOUD | 13.9% | 7.21 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | GIMME FIVE | 12.0% | 8.32 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER AXIOM | 9.7% | 10.28 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 8.2% | 12.17 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | CURRAHEE | 4.5% | 22.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | SUNNY DARLING | 3.1% | 31.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 2.3% | 43.82 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | BRAVO WARRIOR | 1.6% | 60.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 1.4% | 70.68 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 72.5
PLACE
6 48.5
7 20.5
11 23.5
QUINELLA
6,11 687.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 222
6,11 191.5
7,11 75
FORECAST
11,6 1,197
TIERCE
11,6,7 8,489
TRIO
6,7,11 1,159
FIRST 4
3,6,7,11 2,873
QUARTET
11,6,7,3 67,487
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/3/6 962
7/3/11 1,472
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/6,7,11 376,120
4TH DOUBLE
3/6 187.5
3/11 498.5