Happy Valley · 2024-05-15 · 10:41
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-15 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TIMESTORM, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with SONIC BOOM second and ISLAND SURPRISE third. The 3.7 favourite VIVA A LA finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TIMESTORM V 1.10.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | SONIC BOOM B-/XB-/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE PC/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER B2 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 11 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | VIVA A LA B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | YEABOI TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | AUGUST MOON BO/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 4.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 9 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | NOBLE ONE B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PODIUM B/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 7 | 71.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | EASY TWO H/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 12 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | AUGUST MOON | 19.7% | 5.07 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | VIVA A LA | 17.8% | 5.61 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | SONIC BOOM | 10.9% | 9.20 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | TIMESTORM | 10.1% | 9.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 10.1% | 9.90 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | NOBLE ONE | 7.3% | 13.72 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 5.3% | 18.84 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER | 4.9% | 20.23 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | EASY TWO | 4.9% | 20.24 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | YEABOI | 4.3% | 23.21 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 3.2% | 31.65 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | PODIUM | 1.4% | 72.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 126
PLACE
4 31.5
8 30.5
9 31
QUINELLA
4,8 589
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 154
4,9 151
8,9 165.5
FORECAST
8,4 1,338
TIERCE
8,4,9 9,937
TRIO
4,8,9 1,629
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 8,685
QUARTET
8,4,9,5 207,329