Happy Valley · 2024-05-15 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 4 | DRAGON STAR V-/XB/B2 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 5.5 | N |
| 3 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 4 | 9 | MR ALADDIN B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 2 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HOLY POWER B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 1 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | AFFORDABLE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | GALLANT HERO B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | FAMILY FORTUNE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 6 | 24.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SETANTA, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with DRAGON STAR second and GALLANT CROWN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite TURIN WARRIOR finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NICE BIRDIE | 17.4% | 5.76 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | MR ALADDIN | 13.9% | 7.20 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 13.4% | 7.47 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | DRAGON STAR | 12.4% | 8.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | HOLY POWER | 10.9% | 9.14 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN | 10.2% | 9.78 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | GALLANT HERO | 7.6% | 13.11 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | SETANTA | 6.1% | 16.28 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD | 3.9% | 25.34 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 2.8% | 35.64 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | AFFORDABLE | 1.2% | 81.94 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 62
PLACE
4 19
6 44
7 23
QUINELLA
4,7 186
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 149
4,7 75.5
6,7 131
FORECAST
7,4 480
TIERCE
7,4,6 3,650
TRIO
4,6,7 808
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 1,687
QUARTET
7,4,6,9 31,712
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,9/4,6,7 528,689
6TH DOUBLE
8/4 163
8/7 1,182.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,7,11/3,8,9/Any Combination 204,624