Happy Valley · 2024-05-15 · 13:12
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-15 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CAMINO, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with MA COMET second and HAPPY HORSE third. The 5.2 favourite SIGHT HAPPY finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CAMINO H/P 0.57.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | MA COMET P/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 4 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H-/B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SIGHT HAPPY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | JOY IN JOY B- A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | GORGEOUS VITALITY B A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 2 | 8.3 | 46-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAPPY HORSE | 22.4% | 4.46 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 13.2% | 7.57 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 10.7% | 9.33 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | SIGHT HAPPY | 10.2% | 9.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | CAMINO | 7.9% | 12.62 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 7.3% | 13.68 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER | 7.1% | 14.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 6.4% | 15.56 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | PHILOS | 5.3% | 18.75 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL | 5.1% | 19.58 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | MA COMET | 2.3% | 43.61 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | JOY IN JOY | 1.9% | 53.07 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 110.5
PLACE
3 36.5
8 40.5
9 28
QUINELLA
3,8 626
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 187
3,9 229
8,9 217
FORECAST
8,3 1,324
TIERCE
8,3,9 13,399
TRIO
3,8,9 2,270
FIRST 4
2,3,8,9 3,333
QUARTET
8,3,9,2 85,773
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/3 183.5
11/8 1,166