Happy Valley · 2024-05-22 · 18:02
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-22 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. ARTHUR'S KINGDOM, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2, with GO GO GO second and CLASSIC ARCHI third. The winner led throughout. The 4.3 favourite GO GO GO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Wire to wire XB-/TT- 2.17.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | GO GO GO Closed strongly P/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | KEEN UNITY Closed strongly V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | NINJA DERBY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | COLOURFUL BARON TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 6 | 10.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | FASTPASS B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 28.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 8 | 13.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUNNY SHINES A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 34.0 | 22 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GO GO GO | 36.1% | 2.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY HERO | 12.9% | 7.77 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | NINJA DERBY | 7.7% | 12.95 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | COLOURFUL BARON | 7.2% | 13.84 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 6.5% | 15.44 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 6.2% | 16.11 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | KEEN UNITY | 5.1% | 19.56 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 4.6% | 21.93 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER | 4.4% | 22.67 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | GREEN LASER | 3.8% | 26.27 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | FASTPASS | 2.8% | 35.91 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | SUNNY SHINES | 2.7% | 36.51 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 63
PLACE
3 51
4 16.5
10 23
QUINELLA
4,10 144
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 151.5
3,10 180.5
4,10 58
FORECAST
10,4 317
TIERCE
10,4,3 3,725
TRIO
3,4,10 791
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 856
QUARTET
10,4,3,5 16,686