Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2024-05-22 · 18:40

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 2200m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 2.17.01
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Wire to wire XB-/TT- 2.17.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui 11 6.3 2
2 4 GO GO GO Closed strongly P/TT Z Purton · W Y So 1 4.3 2
3 3 CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 2 18.0 3
4 5 HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B L Hewitson · M Newnham 4 4.3 3-1/2
5 1 KEEN UNITY Closed strongly V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 9 15.0 3-3/4
6 6 NINJA DERBY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 10 20.0 5-1/4
7 12 GREEN LASER Closed strongly PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 7 10.0 7
8 11 DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly A Badel · J Size 12 10.0 9-1/2
9 2 COLOURFUL BARON TT Y L Chung · J Richards 6 10.0 10-1/4
10 9 FASTPASS B K C Leung · C H Yip 3 28.0 11-1/4
11 8 CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 8 13.0 20-1/4
12 7 SUNNY SHINES A Atzeni · P C Ng 5 34.0 22

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-22 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. ARTHUR'S KINGDOM, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2, with GO GO GO second and CLASSIC ARCHI third. The winner led throughout. The 4.3 favourite GO GO GO finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ARTHUR'S KINGDOM—2. GO GO GO+2L3. CLASSIC ARCHI+3L4. HAPPY HERO+3.5L5. KEEN UNITY+3.75L6. NINJA DERBY+5.25L7. GREEN LASER+7L8. DIAMOND WINNER+9.5L9. COLOURFUL BARON+10.25L10. FASTPASS+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GO GO GO (36.1%) finished 2nd — the winner ARTHUR'S KINGDOM was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 GO GO GO 36.1% 2.77 2
2 5 HAPPY HERO 12.9% 7.77 4
3 6 NINJA DERBY 7.7% 12.95 6
4 2 COLOURFUL BARON 7.2% 13.84 9
5 10 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM 6.5% 15.44 1
6 8 CIRCUIT ELITE 6.2% 16.11 11
7 1 KEEN UNITY 5.1% 19.56 5
8 3 CLASSIC ARCHI 4.6% 21.93 3
9 11 DIAMOND WINNER 4.4% 22.67 8
10 12 GREEN LASER 3.8% 26.27 7
11 9 FASTPASS 2.8% 35.91 10
12 7 SUNNY SHINES 2.7% 36.51 12
GO GO GOHAPPY HERONINJA DERBYCOLOURFUL BARONARTHUR'S KINGDOM — wonCIRCUIT ELITEKEEN UNITYCLASSIC ARCHIDIAMOND WINNERGREEN LASERFASTPASSSUNNY SHINES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 63

PLACE

3 51

4 16.5

10 23

QUINELLA

4,10 144

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 151.5

3,10 180.5

4,10 58

FORECAST

10,4 317

TIERCE

10,4,3 3,725

TRIO

3,4,10 791

FIRST 4

3,4,5,10 856

QUARTET

10,4,3,5 16,686