Happy Valley · 2024-05-22 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SATIRICAL FAN Wire to wire CP1/TT 1.40.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 27.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.8 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 5 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 9.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 8 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PALACE PAL V H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 2 | 8.9 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO H M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | BEER PALACE B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 96.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER TAICHI H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 53.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | MASTER TORNADO PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 9.8 | 74 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SATIRICAL FAN, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with ATOMIC BEAUTY second and COMET SPLENDIDO third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite ATOMIC BEAUTY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 21.3% | 4.69 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | PALACE PAL | 15.1% | 6.63 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | MASTER TORNADO | 11.3% | 8.83 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO | 10.8% | 9.25 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 10.5% | 9.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 9.0% | 11.05 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | COURIER MAGIC | 7.6% | 13.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | AMAZING BOY | 5.2% | 19.24 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | BEER PALACE | 3.6% | 27.83 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE | 2.4% | 41.20 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER TAICHI | 2.0% | 49.81 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | SATIRICAL FAN | 1.1% | 88.79 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 275.5
PLACE
1 100
3 19
5 12
QUINELLA
1,5 593.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 322
1,5 224
3,5 36
FORECAST
1,5 1,186
TIERCE
1,5,3 6,297
TRIO
1,3,5 649
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 1,532
QUARTET
1,5,3,2 51,045
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/1,3,5 60,405
2ND DOUBLE
10/1 396
10/5 14