Happy Valley · 2024-05-22 · 18:02
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NEW POWER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with SO TREASURE second and TATTENHAM third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NEW POWER H 1.10.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SO TREASURE CP1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | TATTENHAM CP-/H2 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TALENTS SUPREMO CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 3 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DRACO TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE XB- H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | IVICTORIAM PC-/B1/XB1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 10 | 146.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | MISTER FOX A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 7 | 114.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | VALHALLA XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 8.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | TRAVEL GOLF TT2 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 16.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 17.5% | 5.72 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | NEW POWER | 16.9% | 5.91 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SHINKANSEN | 14.1% | 7.09 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | VALHALLA | 12.6% | 7.93 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | TATTENHAM | 9.1% | 11.02 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | DRACO | 8.4% | 11.91 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL GOLF | 6.5% | 15.45 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | SO TREASURE | 4.8% | 20.76 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 4.5% | 22.29 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 4.0% | 25.16 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | MISTER FOX | 1.1% | 91.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | IVICTORIAM | 0.6% | 178.73 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 27.5
PLACE
5 58
10 11.5
12 28
QUINELLA
5,10 323
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 117
5,12 288.5
10,12 56
FORECAST
10,5 468
TIERCE
10,5,12 3,577
TRIO
5,10,12 815
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 682
QUARTET
10,5,12,6 13,983
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/5 194.5
10/10 209.5