Happy Valley · 2024-05-22 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly B-/V1/TT 1.40.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 6.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.4 | HD |
| 4 | 7 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | THE KHAN H/SR A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 4 | 9.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 6 | 8.8 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | FLYING PHANTOM H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | PACKING WISHER TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 5.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly B-/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 11 | 63.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | MIDORI BURLY B/TT1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 9 | 38.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE Led early PC/XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 5.1 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 19-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FOREVER GLORIOUS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with GOLD TACK second and KASA PAPA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.1 favourite PACKING WISHER finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 19.6% | 5.09 | 11 |
| 2 | 5 | TO INFINITY | 13.5% | 7.39 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 11.1% | 9.04 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | PACKING WISHER | 10.7% | 9.34 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | KASA PAPA | 10.4% | 9.61 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLD TACK | 9.5% | 10.57 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | CAN'T GO WONG | 7.7% | 12.92 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | THE KHAN | 6.5% | 15.48 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 4.8% | 20.98 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | FLYING PHANTOM | 3.0% | 32.98 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | MIDORI BURLY | 2.1% | 46.84 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY | 1.1% | 93.28 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 60
PLACE
3 28
6 20.5
12 44.5
QUINELLA
6,12 543.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 99
3,12 163
6,12 166
FORECAST
6,12 964
TIERCE
6,12,3 9,481
TRIO
3,6,12 1,490
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 3,894
QUARTET
6,12,3,7 84,058
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/10/6 4,201
1/10/12 2,181
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,10/3,6,12 57,600
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 90
10/12 34.5