Happy Valley · 2024-05-22 · 18:02
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-05-22 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC LAOS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with RED HARE KING second and IVY LEAGUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite RED HARE KING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly TT 1.40.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 6.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | RED HARE KING Led early TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.6 | N |
| 3 | 3 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 8 | 16.0 | N |
| 4 | 4 | SWEET BRIAR B-/V1/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SILVER UP B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 7.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GIDDY UP Closed strongly P1/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 1 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | RED MAJESTY B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 6 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | ESCAPE ROUTE H K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 7.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | WAH MAY WAI WAI H Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 66.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | ORIENTAL TYCOON P M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 3 | 95.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SWEET BRIAR | 18.8% | 5.31 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 15.6% | 6.42 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | RED HARE KING | 13.7% | 7.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND | 11.2% | 8.89 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | SILVER UP | 8.9% | 11.22 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | GIDDY UP | 8.3% | 11.99 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | IVY LEAGUE | 6.7% | 15.00 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 6.0% | 16.80 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | RED MAJESTY | 4.4% | 22.94 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 4.1% | 24.16 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 1.6% | 62.76 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 0.7% | 146.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 60.5
PLACE
1 17
3 45
6 22.5
QUINELLA
1,6 183
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 126.5
1,6 67.5
3,6 167.5
FORECAST
6,1 443
TIERCE
6,1,3 3,955
TRIO
1,3,6 793
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 655
QUARTET
6,1,3,4 15,537
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
11/1 157
11/6 602