Sha Tin · 2024-05-29 · 11:17
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-29 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ADEFILL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with YELLOWFIN second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ADEFILL Closed strongly B 1.40.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P2 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ADEFILL | 41.5% | 2.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | YELLOWFIN | 28.1% | 3.56 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 21.0% | 4.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 6.1% | 16.41 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 3.3% | 29.95 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 17.5
PLACE
4 13
5 16.5
QUINELLA
4,5 21.5
FORECAST
4,5 37
TIERCE
4,5,1 66
TRIO
1,4,5 27